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Beneath the Headlines: Covid & Florida

The Orlando sentinel headline today reads “Florida breaks state, US record with 15k Covid coronavirus cases reported in a single day, an all-time high for a state”. Let’s take that headline and unpack that further.

As I have said previously, it is nearly impossible for the public to get a true understanding of what is happening with Covid by relying on the media with their focus on headlines and the popular narrative.

We analyzed publicly available data through the Florida Department of Health and the Covid Tracker project to look at aggregate data trends which are summarized in my extensive blog. For all of the facts and data, please click here.

In Florida, the data is taking us in two different directions:

  1. Cases are significantly increasing and may reflect a reality where the rates are even higher: 7-10%+ if we look at antibodies and 10-30% if we assume that the T- cell immune response is similar to Sweden.
  2. Death rates and hospitalizations are plummeting which is welcome news. If current trends hold excess death rates from Covid will likely contribute to less than 6% of total expected deaths by the end of the year.

Don’t just look at the headlines — think for yourself!

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