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COVID Florida Data for the Month of July

We continue to tally the daily Florida state data on COVID as seen in our summary table below.
It is important to note that the state reports deaths when they receive them so deaths for a particular time reflect when they were reported not when they occurred. For example, deaths reported on a single day in July may include deaths from as long as 6 weeks before they were reported.

Some observations:

  • Overall cases are 474k. Given overall Florida population of 21.9M this is a case rate of 2.1%. The critical assumption is how much are cases underreported? If the CDC estimate that cases underreported actual cases by as much as 10-fold up to 1 out of 5 residents in Florida have been exposed to Covid. 
  • The 25-34-year-old segment has the highest case rate of 3.4% and the 75-84-year-old segment has the lowest rate of 1.41% suggesting that strategies to protect older adults are working.
  • Overall case fatality rates for Florida are now 1.48%, if the true case rate is 10x higher that mortality rate would be 0.14%.
  • Mortality rates vary as much as 1000-fold by age group: 0.02% in ages 15-24 , 20% in ages 85 and older.
  • Cases peaked in late July and we anticipate that Florida cases will be heading significantly down during August.
DatesCasesTestsHospitalizationsDeathsPositivity
Rate
Hosp
Rate
Case
Fatality Rate
7/16-7/31172,811948,9227,3132,39618.2%4.2%1.39%
7/1-7/15149,376790,9584,7801,02218.9%3.2%0.68%
6/16-6/3075,108514,8112,581
574
14.6%3.4%0.76%
6/1-6/1521,163408,8351,8454965.2%8.7%2.34%
5/16-5/3112,953412,5122,4605433.1%19.0%4.19%
5/1-5/159,520226,4322,1987014.2%23.1%7.36%
4/16-4/3011,179168,8962,4516816.6%21.9%6.09%
4/1-4/1516,173152,8862,52153210.6%15.6%3.29%
3/1-3/316,33860,5978237710.5%13.0%1.21%
TOTAL474,6213,684,84926,9727,02212.9%5.7%1.48%
FLORIDA AGE GROUPCOVID CASESCASE RATEHOSPITALIZATIONSCOVID DEATHSDeaths / Cases
0-47,9800.69%16200.00%
5-1418,2830.77%12030.02%
15-2472,7842.85%674170.02%
25-3492,6873.42%1,626520.06%
35-4478,2503.13%2,4461540.20%
45-5475,8382.98%3,5623040.40%
55-6460,9262.09%4,7727171.18%
65-7435,1931.44%5,2401,4324.07%
75-8420,1421.41%4,7902,0079.96%
85+11,6651.95%3,5802,33620.03%
Unknown873
TOTAL474,6212.23%26,9727,0221.48%
DATE8/18/18/18/18/1

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