PUBLIC HEALTH & COVID-19
If you are searching for data on how the epidemic is likely to evolve across the country and in your area, the most cited model is now “The Murray Model” run by Christopher Murray at the Institute for Health Care Metrics in Seattle, Washington. IHME has been the preeminent group in assembling massive global health datasets and has been doing this for over a decade. I worked with Chris 12 years ago when I was at McKinsey and Company as Chief Operating Officer of their Health Care Systems Institute and he was our adviser. Extraordinarily smart and insightful. That being said, lots of people in the media on both sides are having commentary on the accuracy of the model and it is changing day to day as the data evolves. Check it out.
Since the practices, principles and professionalism of public health are also front and center in the news, you may have become interested personally more interested in what public health is about. If you have extra time to spare in social isolation at home, take a look at this free Coursera course on Public Health sponsored by the Johns Hopkins School of Public Health, which starts today.
FLORIDA TREND IS DOWN
The overall Florida numbers went down for the second day in a row. Needs to be for fourteen days before we can really say the peak is gone, but a hopeful trend.