Second Wave in Europe

Global metrics collected by the Financial Times shows that the “second wave” of infections has occurred in Europe with deaths rising, albeit significantly lower than the first wave in the spring.

Meanwhile, the CDC excess deaths data for the US is showing that the peak in excess deaths on August 1st was about 50% less than the initial peak on April 11th. Since then excess deaths have been on the relative decline, despite higher cases.

The CDC data shows that in Florida the peak in deaths was August 1st and the trend has been on the decline ever since. Currently, excess deaths are at the same rate above the baseline as the flu season from 2018.

Peer-reviewed data has shown that the relative mortality rate for Covid has decreased dramatically due to progress in medical care. The big question that is not answered in the statistics is what is the morbidity from complications of Covid – “Long Covid.” More on that to come in a future post